Bovada NFL Football Playoffs Odds: Saints Visit the 49ers

Saturday, January 14, 2012

by Bovada Sportsbook

Drew Brees - Bovada NFL Football Playoffs Odds: Saints Visit the 49ers

There is only one game of the four NFL divisional round postseason matchups this weekend that isn’t a rematch from the regular season and it’s Saturday afternoon’s meeting between NFC South champion New Orleans Saints (13-3) and West champion San Francisco 49ers (13-3). The Saints are 4-point favorites on Bovada Sportsbook NFL football lines, the only road favorite of the weekend (all four home teams won and covered last week).

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The Saints had the NFL’s top-ranked total and passing offense in the regular season (No. 2 in scoring) and it showed last week in a 45-28 victory over Detroit, New Orleans’ ninth win in a row. The Saints were down 7-0 after a quarter but then exploded. Drew Brees threw for 466 total yards and three scores and New Orleans broke the postseason mark for total yards with 626, beating the record set 49 years ago. Brees hit on 33 of 43 passes while throwing for the most yards in a regulation playoff game. He had three completions of at least 40 yards.

San Francisco was off last week thanks to winning a tiebreaker (better conference record) over New Orleans. The Niners ranked fourth in the NFL in total defense this year, first in rushing yards allowed by a wide margin and second in points per game at 14.3. The Saints didn’t score less than 20 points once this season, although all three losses came on the road. And New Orleans has never won a road playoff game (0-4). San Francisco was 7-1 at home, with the loss coming in overtime in Week 2 to Dallas.

The magic number in this game likely is 20 points. New Orleans is just 8-8 in the past two seasons when the opponent scores 20. The Saints allowed 20 or more points in six of their eight road games this season. The Saints had a 3-3 record in those contests, with two of the losses occurring against the Buccaneers and the Rams, teams that won six games combined. The Niners scored 20 or more points in every home game this season.

These two teams played last season, a 25-22 Saints win in San Francisco (they also played this preseason, a 24-3 Saints home win). New Orleans is 8-0 ATS in past eight as a favorite. Niners are 5-1 ATS in past six as a home dog of between 3.5-10 points. The weather is supposed to be terrific at kickoff, with mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the mid-60s.

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drew brees - new orleans saints - san francisco 49ers

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